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Marketing in a Post-Pandemic World - Viewed Through the Lens of the “4-Ps”

5/12/2020

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The last couple of months have turned many things on their head, and it’s a confusing time. In business, it’s no different. Disruptors are being disrupted. Hell, everyone is being disrupted. It can be hard to sort through the chaos, keep track of the rapid change, and anticipate the evolving sensibilities of the marketplace. In these situations it’s helpful to pull back and evaluate things through familiar frameworks (as academic as that may seem). For marketers, the “4P’s” model (Product, Price, Place[ment], and Promotion) can be one of these frameworks through which to assess new paradigms and figure out strategic direction.

New direction, both strategic and tactical, will need to respond to shifts brought on by the coronavirus - in economic conditions, consumer attitudes, and expected societal behavior. For instance, there have been numerous discussions and articles by thought leaders about businesses needing to embrace and accelerate their digital transformation in response to this crisis (such as this one by the World Economic Forum). The WEF article correctly points out that the stakes have been raised in this crisis: “One could see the current times as the first real test of the digital-first business mantras that have been extolled over the first part of this century.” Indeed, there is little time to waste in figuring it out: “This combination of scalable and agile capabilities is what will define the short and medium-term success of businesses, whether large or small.”

The key to this agility in times of crisis is understanding and responding to how people are assessing and prioritizing needs and wants in a different way. In my view, consumers will revert back to needs instead of wants (as in Maslow’s hierarchy), choosing to simplify their lives and place more value on family, friends, and community. Some may turn (or return) to spirituality and faith. With this more basic mindset, consumers will decide their “must haves” vs. “nice to haves.” They will more carefully consider spending and buying decisions, resetting what I call “anchors of value.” How does this affect our marketing approach? The 4 P’s can provide a lens through which to view and answer this question - let’s go through them.
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​1.) Product – If needs and wants are simplifying, are you designing products and “curating” offerings to match up with this shift? Will people anchor their value around utility and safety instead of unneeded features - or even items - the way they once did? While the voice of the customer will still be prominent, product development cycles will likely be simplified and take on a more modular form. The focus will be on safety, reliability, and portability.

Also, supply chain disruptions have impacted product availability, and may lead to a re-thinking of future roadmaps, designs, and features & options. Flexibility with respect to procurement and production should also be given greater consideration.

Takeaway: Listen to your customers for a re-ordered set of desired attributes. Also, the procurement, production, and operational constituencies will have a louder voice in the process as well – agility will be as important as quality and scalability.

2.) Price – Fair and transparent pricing is more important than ever, because people will remember. Charge more only if people can clearly understand (and tacitly agree with) why it’s happening. If you are on the fence about trying to raise prices, then it’s probably not the right thing to do.

However, price elasticity will be tested and reset for many categories, as reductions may no longer be enough to spur demand (see airfares, cruises, hotel rooms, and luxury accessories). Conversely, will overpaying still be as much of a status thing?

The dynamics of volume pricing could also change, as bulk discounts may now apply more for some product categories (clothing & apparel) than others (toilet paper, vitamins & medicines, cleaning products).
Lastly, as delivery logistics systems hit capacity and cause delays, charging for reliable shipping & delivery for online purchases could make a comeback. Will the market accept paid shipping to ensure they receive needed items?

Takeaway: Understand how people value things and what they will pay a premium for. What pricing strategies (i.e. promotional, surge, etc.) will be effective in a more needs vs. wants-driven world? How will the “paradox of value” apply as consumers set new “anchors of value” in post-pandemic life?

3.) Place – E-commerce is now table stakes, and is a big part of the accelerated digital transformation discussed above. You need to make sure the user experience is state of the art. Relatedly, smooth & safe delivery and pickup logistics (variations on “BOPIS” - buy online, pickup in store) are the expectation in the new norm. As such, direct-to-consumer brands (typically digitally native) have a head start and are well positioned to take market share. The peak-and-decline of the direct-to-consumer e-commerce model – increasingly discussed prior to this crisis - will now look overstated.

As marketers think beyond the pandemic, how does one view retail’s ongoing existence? The implications for (already suffering) brick-and-mortar stores could be staggering. Do they remain, or evolve into showrooms and service centers? Retail spaces would probably need to de-clutter and open up in order to accommodate more social distancing. Perhaps “shopping” itself survives, but eventually becomes a purely leisure activity. In that case, merchandisers would have to play up the entertainment aspects of retail – of bonding with friends while on a treasure hunt of sorts to discover new products and bargains.

Another "place" consideration: brands’ ability to quickly shift product mix and distribution between B2C and B2B channels in the case of unexpected disruptions will be a strategic advantage.

Takeaway: Big changes to merchandising, with the digital transformation of retail condensed and accelerated. Companies who are behind the curve in embracing digital customer engagement and e-commerce will be at a distinct disadvantage. The notion of shopping will change, and traditional retail models will have to creatively adjust in response.

4.) Promotion – Advertising and promotion can make or break marketers in this environment, with audiences full of raw emotion and focusing on basic needs. Authentic is the word to key in on, and actions speak louder than words. Lead with compassion and empathy, as marketing exec Jeff Raymond aptly put in his Marketing Profs article on reassessing the 4P’s amid Covid-19: “As for what messages are being promoted… organizations should take care to blend commerce and compassion.” Be careful, However. Doing cause marketing campaigns in a contrived way could be called out by the public and backfire – as recently happened with Reese Witherspoon’s Draper James. Be ready to invest more time, thought, and specialized expertise to get it right to avoid the angry (virtual) mob.

This is when thoughtfully developed brand tenets come to the fore, serving as a foundation for engaging and inspired advertising & communication. Promotional activities are OK, if well planned out and they incentivize the right response for the right reasons. If the business needs to liquidate inventory – just say that, and find a way to demonstrate the “win-win” for the customers and downstream stakeholders. “We are all in this together” should be more than a promotional tag line.

Takeaway: There will be less room for error - in all phases of executing promotions and advertising. Not only will campaigns be scrutinized by management for ROI-positive performance, but they will also be checked by brand people, legal stewards, and most importantly customers - for clarity of intent and consistency between the values of the brand and the community of customers.

An Additional Takeaway: There is a 5th “P” to consider - Preparedness. This goes to how well your organization can rapidly and unexpectedly shift elements of strategy due to outside forces, constraints, market disruptions, or opportunities. This touches on process design, analytical capabilities, resource planning, technology infrastructure, organization culture (and morale), and management skillset. Do not neglect to think about this when setting your go-forward strategies.

Marketing has always been a tricky mix of science & analytics, business, psychology, and creativity. Radical shifts in consumer attitudes & behavior, as well as business best practices are only going to make marketing harder. But we can manage these complexities by breaking down them into models such as the 4P’s of marketing. Looking through this framework helps us adjust our mindset, prepare for the future, and orient around new strategies when plans are forced to change
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Alibaba: A Giant Crosses the Sea and Lands on America’s Shores

10/13/2014

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Alibaba is big. And it is impressive: its growth, its affect on China’s culture and its role in China’s enormous economy give it the ability to move markets. Even the US Stock market, as it did during the company’s massive $22 billion IPO – the largest ever for an online tech company – on September 19th, 2014. As Alibaba (NYSE Symbol: BABA) went public, it was deemed (by its $215 billion market value) to be bigger than the US’ own e-commerce behemoths – Amazon and Ebay – combined. 
The numbers that indicate its success are pretty staggering: $270 billion in gross merchandise value from 13 billion annual orders, over 280 million registered users, 100 million visitors – per day, and a revenue growth rate of about 45% year-over-year. But many in the US – especially those that don’t follow e-commerce or stocks – are unaware of any of this. They do not know of the name Alibaba at all. To clarify, Alibaba is a China-based e-commerce company that (among other things) connects buyers and sellers of millions of products. Than how can it be that this company is so little known by the American consumer?

There are multiple reasons: the company has not targeted the US market (yet), it has done no advertising, and no significant PR in our media (other than in recent days surrounding its IPO), and most importantly, it’s English language website has not been widely discovered – yet. But Alibaba is too big to ignore – the splash that the IPO created is clear proof of that (up some 32% on its first day of trading) showed that we in the USA need to understand that the center of the online universe is not necessarily always going to be Amazon, Ebay, Google, Facebook, and Youtube. The size of China’s market will eventually dwarf ours, and its top players will certainly be bringing their size, resources, pricing power and creative ideas to our shores in the not-too-distant future.  

So in the spirit of learning more about Alibaba and its charismatic founder Jack Ma, and sharing about the firm’s massive growth and success, I have read a number of articles, etc. on Alibaba’s rise to dominance (see links below). I have culled 5 key reasons why it has become such a powerful player in today’s e-commerce world.

Top 5 reasons for Alibaba’s Wild success:
1.  A focus on solving problems for B2B customers - When Jack Ma started Alibaba, he was fascinated by the scope and power of the internet. Yet he also recognized it as a way to address one of China’s big problems: struggling small business growth amidst a poor commerce infrastructure. Ma made e-commerce a core solution for Chinese small businesses to find markets and flourish. Ma himself said in comparing e-commerce in the US and China: “In US, e-commerce is a dessert. In China, it's a main course."

2.  An early mover in a huge addressable market – It’s no secret that China is the largest e-commerce market in the world (in one of the largest economies in the world), and Alibaba has done a good job of jumping out in front of the competition to gain significant share. However, experts agree that there is still lots of room for growth, and with new competitors now entering the market, Alibaba knows that it must continue to improve its offerings and its technical platform to maintain its lead.

3.  Building an online ecosystem – Alibaba does a huge amount of e-commerce, but it does not stop there. It understands that you need to create a platform with multiple services, experiences, and models in order to create a “sticky” customer. So the company also has successfully launched payment systems (Alipay), financial services, Yu’e Bao, and consumer focused discount shopping sites Taobao and Tmall. This allows the company to deepen its customer relationships and diversify its growth channels.

4.  A visionary leader who surrounded himself with a strong team – As is mentioned above, Jack Ma had a strong vision that the internet would work well in China, and there is no doubt that he has executed on that vision. But he was also smart enough to know that he couldn’t do it alone. He have built a strong team of leaders, partners and investors that include Joe Tsai (in charge of finance & legal), Jonathan Lu (in charge of operations and marketing), Jerry Yang (Yahoo founder and BABA board member), and Japan’s Softbank (an early investor and supporter)

5.  A penchant for keeping humble priorities – In an interview for “60 Minutes,” Jack Ma turned an American business maxim on its head when he laid out his strategic priorities: “customer first, employees second, and shareholders third.” He raised some eyebrows with that statement, but pointed out that if the first two are accomplished, then the third priority will take care of itself. Interesting perspective from a man now with stake in his company worth $25 billion.

Alibaba will be a fascinating company to follow in the coming months & years. As China’s e-commerce market continues to grow, how will increasing competition from both Chinese start-ups as well as US giants (Amazon, Ebay and Google all are making a play for the China market) impact Alibaba’s market power and strategy? How will the Chinese government (who has created a friendly environment for Alibaba to succeed in China) play a role into the future? What does Jack Ma have up his sleeve next (many expect several acquisitions with the newly raised capital). I will be watching this giant that has now come onto our shores – and so should you.

You can read some of the articles that I found on this topic at the below links:

Wired article on Jack Ma

Bloomberg Article on Alibaba's success seen through Foxconn founder's eyes

Stanford University Article on Alibaba success factors

DW Article

DMR Piece on Impressive Alibaba Stats

See WSJ video on Alibaba and Chinese e-commerce landscape 

Thanks, and please feel free to comment.



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Galaxy Note, iPhone 6 and Emerging Phablets: What’s Old is New Again

9/24/2014

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Earlier this month Apple unveiled their new iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus to much fanfare (10MM sold in the first weekend) and strong reviews (for the most part) The most notable design feature about these devices is their larger screen size relative to previous models – the iPhone 6 Plus in particular has a 5.5 inch screen.  This puts it squarely into the “phablet” category – a crossover between smart phones and small tablets that could be used as either. Other models that have steadily caught on over the past year are the Samsung Galaxy Note 3, with its 5.7 inch screen and the LG G3 with a “5.5 screen – both of which still have a phone as a key feature. These products have been held up as differentiators in the ongoing mobile device wars between these two tech giants and others.

 These phablets have been getting increasingly glowing reviews, press, and buzz, as the 2000’s trend of the smaller-the-better phones continues to reverse itself in this decade.  In her review of the iPhone 6, Re/Code’s Lauren Goode wrote: “…I have to admit it: I’m tempted. I really like this phone. And people who actually prefer huge smartphones: you’re going to like this phone, too.” Similarly, Engadget’s James Trew loved the Galaxy Note 3: “The Note remains unchallenged in its category. Excellent battery life, a brilliant display and top performance make it an excellent all-rounder…”

These companies should be hailed for their innovation and for knowing the desires of the market, right? Sure, but I do find it interesting how fickle the electronics consumer can be, especially when they first encounter a truly innovative product for the first time - especially when the company that releases it lacks pedigree in that particular market.

Case in point: The Dell Mini (later renamed Streak 5). This was one of the very first “phablets” – before the term was even coined. It was released by Dell way back in early 2010 in an effort to get a let up in mobile devices, but its 6-inch size was met with derision and poor reviews that called out the “awkward” screen size. In fact, Engadget had this to say about it: “Dell's puzzled the world for quite some time with its outlandish Mini 5 / Streak -- at first glance it's just another Android-based MID, but a quick fiddle with it reveals the full-fledged 3G phone inside. So will it fit in a pocket? Can we carry it around like a normal phone?”  Hardcore techies were intruiged and looked past some of the early software bugs and flawed features, but the broader market didn’t know what to make of it and thus it garnerd only tepid sales. Seems like Dell, a company not known for innovation or smartphones, was a bit ahead of its time perhaps?   

 So why is the phablet now considered a brilliant and celebrated form factor? It’s a good question and a key example of how product development and marketing need to be aligned for a successful new product launch. The voice of the customer needs to be a part of the vetting process, and the benefits of new features & form factor needs to be clearly and repeatedly communicated. Proper pricing is also required: too pricey and it will not be quickly adopted, too low and “cheap” will overshadow “new & innovative.” I’m happy the phablet is finally gaining mainstream traction (and Dell deserves some credit for its pioneering try), but hopefully there are some lessons learned about what’s “old” being “new” again.

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Facebook, Readying for Public Life, Wants To Be Ever Bigger

4/21/2012

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As Facebook makes its final preparations to go public in the next month or two, there must be a tremendous amount of bustle taking place within the company. They are trying to imagine life as a public company: regular filings with the SEC, full disclosure of many key operating and financial figures, and of course the constant scrutiny of every investor, analyst, and pundit in tech and Wall Street.  Their user base, currently at about 850 million, needs to continue to grow and must also begin to generate revenue. Ads are becoming more and more prevalent on the site, and reaction from users (so far) seems to be muted. However, Facebook cannot ignore that if they are to have a successful run as a public company they must continue to grow – in terms of users, user engagement metrics, and in terms of revenue channels and opportunities.

How is Facebook coming at these challenges? By being aggressive and getting bigger of course. Its recently announced purchase of Instagram for $1 billion ( http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/04/09/facebook-buys-instagram-for-1-billion/?_php=true&_&_r=0 ) so close to the IPO is not a sign that Mark Zuckerberg is distracted or confused. Rather, I see it as a shrewd move to deepen their presence in two key and area in which Facebook is weak: photo sharing and mobile. Facebook will gain much needed expertise in photo capture, as social media engagement is becoming more and more about expression through photos. Similarly, as the cameras on smartphones continue to improve, more users will be taking mobile pictures and will want to post them immediately. Instagram will bring expertise and technology in both of these areas into the Facebook fold – that is why they paid so dearly (about 2x of recent valuation estimates) for the company.

I believe it will pay off for Facebook in the not too distant future. With the Instagram purchase they will have new marketing channels and users to satisfy their growth-hungry investors. They will have mobile expertise that will allow Facebook to better monetize their existing social media platform in an increasingly mobile world. Users will benefit from having a better experience overall – with both platforms. Facebook’s lawyers may not like being so busy working on an IPO and an acquisition at the same time, but as a strategic way to prepare for where your customer is going to want to interact, It seems to me that Facebook will be a very interesting public company to watch.

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Googlerola? Motogoogle? Will This Work?

8/18/2011

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Very interesting news this week about Google’s acquisition of Motorola Mobility (MMI).  Here is an excerpt from an article in The New York Times describing the deal:

Google to Buy Motorola Mobility for $12.5 Billion
In a bid to strengthen its mobile business,
Google announced on Monday that it would acquire Motorola Mobility Holdings, the cellphone business that was split from Motorola, for $40 a share in cash, or $12.5 billion.

The offer — by far Google’s largest ever for an acquisition — is 63 percent above the closing price of Motorola Mobility shares on Friday. Motorola manufactures phones that run on Google’s Android software.

Android has become an increasingly important platform for Google, as global smartphone adoption accelerates. The platform, launched in 2007, is now used in more than 150 million devices, with 39 manufacturers.

The acquisition would turn Google, which makes the Android mobile operating system, into a full-fledged cellphone manufacturer, in direct competition with Apple.

 (For entire Story
click here)

Clearly this union will have a ripple effect through the mobile industry – both on the hardware and software/content sides.  There are several reasons why each company would want this deal (which I will discuss below). However, my first impression is that this is a win for Motorola Mobility, but a defensive and risky move for Google.  Perhaps Google had few other ways to protect the future of its Android-centric mobile strategy, but I predict it will be difficult for Google to achieve a desirable return on their $12.5 Billion investment.

The Motorola Mobility Perspective – This was arguably an optimal outcome for MMI. The company, a onetime market leader in mobile technology - with some 24,500 existing and pending patents – has become an industry also ran. In recent years it has fallen behind competitors like Apple, Samsung, HTC and even RIM, losing share in the fast evolving space.  Getting $40 per share for the company is a favorable exit for long-suffering investors such as Carl Icahn. Landing in the arms of juggernaut Google makes CEO Sanjay Jha look like a shrewd dealmaker and savvy salesman.

The Google Perspective – It’s understandable (and widely reported) that Google saw real value in Motorola Mobility’s intellectual property – it needed MMI’s patents to fend off a slew of Android-related lawsuits coming from the likes of Apple and Microsoft. Google also gets MMI’s established line of hardware products: phone handsets will help control the fragmentation of its Android OS, while TV set-top box technology helps boost Google’s web-enabled TV product offerings.

But there are serious challenges to making this marriage work. Google’s track record in consumer-electronics is brief and poor: its Nexus One phone product was a flop, and sales of Google TV have also under-performed. In trying to vertically integrate, perhaps Google is jeopardizing its core competency in content and search – is selling tangible, consumer-oriented products in the company’s DNA? Also, Google will now find itself competing with handset “partners” who use the Android mobile OS – an awkward conflict of interest. Lastly, the cultures of Motorola and Google are vastly different. Integration of these two large organizations (19,000 and 29,000 employees, respectively) will require a major commitment of management’s time, energy, and patience – things they are hard-pressed to spare. 

Even if Google later sheds the hardware business in a sale or a spin-off (at a big discount without patents), it will still have ended up paying quite a bit for a bunch of patents. I hope I am wrong, but I predict that this acquisition will end up being a huge drag on Google’s strategic focus, as well as its long-term Return on Invested Capital.
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Microsoft Buys Skype - Smooth Move or Just Skhype?

5/25/2011

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Microsoft's recent purchase of Skype for $8.5 Billion raised some eybrows, not only for it's lofty price (70% of Skype had been purchased by Silver Lake Partners for only $2.5 Billion back in 2006), but also because pundits were wondering what the heck would a Windows software and video game console company do with essentially a VOIP services provider?

While the debate rages on, there could be some excellent possibilities here for Microsoft. The concensus is that Microsoft wanted access to Skype's 600 million users - not an insignificant number - for the ability to cross-sell products and online services that the company is developing.  Also, according to tech site Gigaom, Skype instantly boosts Microsoft's position in the online communication and collaboration market.  This is an area where Microsoft leaders Steve Ballmer and Bill Gates see future growth and development possibilities - especially leveraging off of the X-box, Windows Mobile and Outlook platforms.  This peer-to-peer connectivity will deliver a cohesive user base to which Microsoft can use to develop new social networking applications, offer cloud-like services based on it's Windows and Office software, and lock up tons of inventory for its Double-click display advertising business (some say this could generate over $350MM in incremental annual revenue.)  The deal will also give Microsoft more leverage with wireless providers and mobile technology companies such as Nokia - a key requirement for boosting it's struggling mobile business.

Given the number of new users that Microsoft just acquiredm, as well as the number of strategic options that Skype provides, I feel that this purchase was well calculated, bold, and will ultimately be a long-term winner.
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    Luke Grant is an experienced marketing and business development executive, with over 15 years of experience in e-commerce, marketing technology, mobile and consumer electronics.

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